What Is the AI Bubble — and How Would We Know If It Popped?
The AI boom shares real warning signs with the dot-com bubble — and real differences. Here's the actual debate over valuations, spending, and revenue, in plain terms.
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The AI bubble is the debate over whether today’s soaring AI valuations and record capital spending are outrunning what the technology actually delivers, raising the risk of a sharp market correction. This hub tracks warnings from economists and investors, comparisons to past tech bubbles like the dot-com era, and the earnings and spending data that bear on the question.
The AI boom shares real warning signs with the dot-com bubble — and real differences. Here's the actual debate over valuations, spending, and revenue, in plain terms.
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Capital expenditure — capex — is what tech giants spend building AI data centers and chips. Here's what it means when that spending pushes a profitable company's free cash flow negative.
Read more →Alphabet posted its first quarterly free-cash-flow deficit as AI spending pushed capital expenditures to a record $44.9 billion, and raised its 2026 capex outlook to $205 billion.
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Kimi K3 is a giant open-weight AI model from China's Moonshot AI. Here's what it is, who built it, and why its release rattled Nvidia and chip investors.
Read more →Apple's market value briefly surpassed Nvidia's on July 17 after Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 model revived doubts about AI infrastructure spending, though Nvidia reclaimed the lead by the close.
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Circular AI financing is the web of equity stakes, loans, and purchase deals linking chipmakers, cloud providers, and AI labs — and central banks now call it a systemic risk.
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DeepSeek is the Chinese AI lab whose cheaply trained, open-weight models triggered Nvidia's biggest one-day stock drop and reshaped how the industry talks about AI costs.
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A secondary market valuation prices a private company by what its existing shares fetch between investors, not a funding round or IPO. Here's how it works, and why it can mislead.
Read more →OpenAI is leaning toward pushing its stock market debut to 2027, with CEO Sam Altman rejecting any listing price below $1 trillion even as advisers flag tech market volatility.
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